Table 2a: Fault Parameters for Mw>=6.9 earthquakes within 100 km of the 1995 Kobe event

        Fault Parameters        
Effects of Kobe
                  Coulomb   Time
    Length Slip Repeat Elapsed Stressing     Stress   Advance (+)
Fault Name     Rate Time Time Rate     Change   or Delay (-)
    (km) (mm/yr) (years) (years) (bars/yr)     (bar)   (years)
                       
Arima-Takatsuki TL   30 0.7-1.5 1000 400 0.007†     2.82   405.6
(East Section)                 ± 0.43   (342.7, 464.9)
                       
Arima-Takatsuki TL   20 0.5 1000 1000 * 0.006     -1.92   -343.2
(West Section)         ± 250 ± 0.0015     ± 0.32   (-441.3, -246.2)
                       
Median Tectonic Line   60 6.0-9.0 250 400 0.04     0.09   2.2
(Tokushima Section)           ± 0.01     ± 0.03   (1.4, 3.2)
                       
Median Tectonic Line   40 3.0-6.0 380 1000 * 0.029     -0.99   -34.3
(Naruto Section)         ± 250 ± 0.0073     ± 0.38   (-52.3, -20.6)
                       
Median Tectonic Line   60 1.0-3.0 500 1000 * 0.017     0.068   4.0
(Wakayama Section)         ± 250 ± 0.0043     ± 0.013   (3.0, 5.6)
                       
Yamasaki fault   60 1.0 1000 1130 0.005     0.09   18.1
            ± 0.0013     ± 0.02   (12.8, 25.8)
                       
Yamasaki fault   40 0.3-0.8 1000 1130 0.005     -0.360   -73.0
(Branch fault)           ± 0.0013     ± 0.087   (-105.4, -50.6
                       
Hanaore fault   50 0.3-0.5 1000 1100 0.003     0.01   3.3
                      (0.07, 7.2)
                       
Uemachi fault   30 0.4 1000 1000 * 0.004**     -0.21   -55.1
          ± 250 ± 0.001     ± 0.11   (-91.9, -25.9)
                       
Ikoma fault   30 0.1-0.4 1000 1000 * 0.004 **     -0.14   -35.5
          ± 250 ± 0.001     ± 0.07   (-56.9, -16.6)
* No large earthquake documented during the past ~1000 years
** Estimated stressing rate
† A stressing rate of 0.007-0.010 is tested only to ensure that the time advance does not exceed the repeat time.